The end of the Condem coalition.

Shortly after the formation of the ConDem coalition last year I predicted that the government wouldn’t last more than a year. Well, it’s almost a year and the coalition still stands… for now. I might have been a bit hasty in my prediction, however the situation seems more fragile than ever.

The last year has been relatively plain sailing because it’s only now an issue that is close to the Lib Dems’ hearts. I’m not sure why commentators are acting surprised by this though, it was inevitable that the government would be split on the issue of AV.

May will not be a good month for the Lib Dems, they could very well AV slip through their fingers at the same time hundreds of their councillors in England face being turfed out of their wards – and as for the Lib Dems in Wales, well they could possibly find themselves with as little as 2 seats in the Assembly.

With all of these factors considered I feel confident in saying that the Westminster government won’t last until 2015. I would go so far as to say that the coalition won’t be in place this time next year.

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(c)The Prime Minister's office
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3 thoughts on “The end of the Condem coalition.”

  1. Righto, I’ll come back here in a year’s time then to see if you were right.

  2. I feel a bit like that preacher in the USA, and the predicting of the rapture!

  3. Well, at least no one’s going to spend all their money, quit their jobs or commit suicide in expectation that the coalition will end so at least nothing disastrous will occur if you’re wrong 🙂

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