Yesterday the Elections in Wales blog published the latest poll on voting intentions in Wales for the next three elections: Europe (2014) Westminster (2015) and National Assembly (2016). It confirms a narrative which has been making the rounds in the media of a rise in support to UKIP, and the continuing troubles for the Lib Dems.
What is interesting is the fact that as it stands UKIP could be the third largest party in the National Assembly in 2016. This will certainly change the dynamics in the Senedd. It shows that according to this UKIP will have 5 (regional) seats and the lib Dems will be reduced to 2 seats (one regional and one constituency).